NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Jordan Whittington

WR
72% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
43.5
Implied team total
23.3
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
25%

26 yrs · 6′1″, 202 lb · Texas · 2024 rd 6 pk 213

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush7.00.0 – 16.9–Differs from form
Receiving
Receiving yards9.30.0 – 27.7–Solid
Receptions1.40.0 – 2.9–Solid
Longest reception16.53.6 – 28.4–Solid
Rush + rec yards10.90.0 – 40.2–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD7.9%no range+1167Solid
First TD scorer2.3%no range+4165Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 331.01.014.30.003%0.06–35%2.4
Last 550.60.68.60.002%0.03–25%1.5
Last 10101.00.88.40.003%0.06–26%1.6
2026 season11.01.08.00.004%0.08–41%1.8

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
2026111804%0–41%2
202515251817105%2143%36
202414282229306%2230%53

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

4 injury entries across 3 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often shoulder

2026Quadricep
2025BackKnee
2024Shoulder×4

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions3382%1.4+0.1
Receiving yards3376%19.8+0.2
Rush + rec yards3379%20.1+0.1
Anytime TD3310% vs 0%0.1-0.1
First TD scorer262% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest reception1889%9.1+2.6
Longest rush4100%1.9-0.9

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 1SF41%1180000
2025 wk 21SEA5%0000000
2025 wk 20CHI60%22351000
2025 wk 18ARI0%0000000
2025 wk 17ATL20%0000000
2025 wk 16SEA16%11190000
2025 wk 15DET6%1000000
2025 wk 14ARI17%1150000
2025 wk 13CAR35%1000000
2025 wk 12TB61%33170000