NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Devontez Walker

WR
65% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
42.5
Implied team total
27.0
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
34%

25 yrs · 6′1″, 198 lb · North Carolina; Kent State; North Carolina Central · 2024 rd 4 pk 113

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush6.20.0 – 15.3–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards15.50.0 – 48.7–Solid
Receptions1.40.0 – 3.0–Solid
Longest reception23.94.9 – 42.3–Differs from form
Rush + rec yards14.30.0 – 41.6–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD10.5%no range+853Solid
First TD scorer1.9%no range+5244Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 331.71.031.00.338%0.26–43%6.1
Last 551.40.618.60.206%0.21–34%3.7
Last 10101.10.718.30.305%0.151.0025%4.3
2026 season21.50.523.50.006%0.25–28%2.9

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
20262314706%1–28%6
202588613634%1124%38
20243312116%1–15%9

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often oblique

2026Groin
2025Oblique×2

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Anytime TD117% vs 27%0.3+0.2
Receptions1191%0.8+0.1
Receiving yards1182%15.8+3.6
Rush + rec yards1182%15.9+3.4
First TD scorer81% vs 13%0.1+0.0
Longest reception5100%11.1-5.2

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3DAL27%1000000
2026 wk 2NO29%21470000
2025 wk 18PIT73%22460001
2025 wk 16NE11%0000000
2025 wk 13CIN28%2000000
2025 wk 12NYJ40%11300000
2025 wk 5HOU0%0000000
2025 wk 4KC7%0000000
2025 wk 3DET12%11340000
2025 wk 2CLE23%22260002