Braelon Allen
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 20.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 33%
22 yrs · 6′1″, 235 lb · Wisconsin · 2024 rd 4 pk 134
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 44.3 | 0.0 – 72.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 11.5 | 1.0 – 19.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 12.8 | 3.3 – 21.5 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 17.3 | 0.0 – 31.3 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.1 | 0.0 – 3.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 11.7 | 2.1 – 25.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 61.5 | 4.2 – 104.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 22.8% | no range | +339 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 6.8% | no range | +1365 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.3 | 20.3 | 0.33 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 2.00 | 41% | 5.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.8 | 23.4 | 0.20 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5.6 | 1.80 | 33% | 4.9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.9 | 18.3 | 0.20 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 2.13 | 28% | 4.1 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 6.3 | 20.3 | 0.33 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 2.00 | 41% | 5.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 19 | 61 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 41% | 17 |
| 2025 | 4 | 18 | 76 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 23% | 15 |
| 2024 | 17 | 92 | 334 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 148 | 12 | 26% | 85 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often back
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 21 | 90% | 12.8 | +1.1 |
| Receptions | 21 | 95% | 1.0 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 21 | 95% | 7.4 | +1.6 |
| Rush attempts | 21 | 90% | 2.8 | +0.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 21 | 86% | 17.5 | +1.8 |
| Anytime TD | 21 | 15% vs 14% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 21 | 3% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 21 | 95% | 3.9 | -0.2 |
| Longest reception | 12 | 92% | 3.6 | +1.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
