NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Rasheen Ali

RB
91% to playdepth unsupported
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
42.5
Implied team total
27.0
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
7%

25 yrs · 5′11″, 210 lb · Marshall · 2024 rd 5 pk 165

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards3.20.0 – 1.8–Solid
Rush attempts0.80.0 – 3.4–Solid
Longest rush7.20.6 – 15.9–Differs from form
Receiving
Receiving yards3.20.0 – 6.1–Solid
Receptions0.70.0 – 0.9–Solid
Longest reception10.61.7 – 22.9–Solid
Rush + rec yards6.40.0 – 9.6–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD4.3%no range+2231Solid
First TD scorer1.0%no range+10149Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 330.00.00.000.00.00.0–0%0.0
Last 550.20.00.000.60.41.6–7%0.6
Last 10100.61.90.001.10.96.82.0019%2.4
2026 season30.00.00.000.00.00.0–0%0.0

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
20263000000–0%0
202515724011968313%24
202451031020039%3

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

2 injury entries across 1 season · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2024Ankle×4Neck×3

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Anytime TD208% vs 5%0.1-0.0
Rushing yards2085%8.4-2.4
Receptions20100%0.5-0.1
Receiving yards2090%4.7-0.7
Rush attempts2090%1.6-0.2
Rush + rec yards2090%10.0-0.9
First TD scorer142% vs 7%0.1+0.0
Longest rush786%5.7+0.4
Longest reception580%8.5+3.5

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3DAL0%0000000
2026 wk 2NO0%0000000
2026 wk 1IND0%0000000
2025 wk 18PIT16%0001000
2025 wk 17GB20%3280000
2025 wk 16NE22%2220000
2025 wk 15CIN27%22320001
2025 wk 14PIT34%32111200
2025 wk 13CIN48%00041700
2025 wk 11CLE20%11150000