Isaiah Davis
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 20.0
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 17%
24 yrs · 6′1″, 220 lb · South Dakota State · 2024 rd 5 pk 173
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 9.6 | 0.0 – 35.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 2.5 | 0.0 – 7.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 8.2 | 1.2 – 16.8 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 4.7 | 0.0 – 11.7 | – | Differs from form |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 0.0 – 1.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.0 | 0.8 – 19.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 14.4 | 0.0 – 40.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 6.2% | no range | +1502 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.9% | no range | +3291 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 1.00 | 4% | 1.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.0 | 15.4 | 0.20 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 13.6 | 1.33 | 17% | 5.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.6 | 12.7 | 0.10 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6.9 | 1.25 | 21% | 3.3 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 0% | 0.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0% | 0 |
| 2025 | 16 | 43 | 236 | 1 | 28 | 21 | 186 | 11 | 28% | 71 |
| 2024 | 13 | 30 | 174 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 75 | 6 | 13% | 46 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 29 | 90% | 12.2 | +1.7 |
| Receptions | 29 | 86% | 1.0 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 29 | 79% | 10.2 | +1.9 |
| Rush attempts | 29 | 97% | 1.8 | +0.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 29 | 79% | 18.2 | +3.0 |
| Anytime TD | 29 | 9% vs 10% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 25 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 21 | 86% | 6.9 | +1.1 |
| Longest reception | 15 | 60% | 6.2 | +2.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  DET | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  GB | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  NE | 13% | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NO | 36% | 4 | 4 | 52 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  JAX | 38% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  MIA | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  ATL | 12% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  BAL | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | NE | 28% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  CLE | 29% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 |