NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
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Troy Franklin

WR
94% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
47.5
Implied team total
22.3
Depth
#5
Recent snaps
30%

23 yrs · 6′3″, 180 lb · Oregon · 2024 rd 4 pk 102

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush7.70.0 – 14.6–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards16.30.0 – 44.4–Solid
Receptions1.40.0 – 2.9–Solid
Longest reception16.94.3 – 34.4–Solid
Rush + rec yards14.60.0 – 40.5–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD5.4%no range+1765Solid
First TD scorer1.2%no range+8289Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 331.30.716.00.005%0.191.0024%2.4
Last 551.81.213.00.006%0.211.0030%2.6
Last 10103.52.533.20.1010%0.291.0041%6.5
2026 season31.30.716.00.005%0.191.0024%2.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
20263424805%1124%7
20251710465709618%82160%177
2024165328263211%5838%67

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · most often hamstring

2025Hamstring

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions3488%1.2+0.0
Receiving yards3474%20.4+3.4
Rush + rec yards3479%21.7+3.0
Anytime TD3418% vs 24%0.3+0.1
First TD scorer344% vs 3%0.1-0.0
Longest reception3278%10.5+1.4
Longest rush6100%3.6-0.6

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3LA18%11210000
2026 wk 2JAX21%21270000
2026 wk 1KC33%1001500
2025 wk 18LAC42%1000000
2025 wk 17KC38%44170000
2025 wk 16JAX64%54660000
2025 wk 15GB50%66851301
2025 wk 14LV26%43110000
2025 wk 13WAS53%32210000
2025 wk 11KC66%84840000