Jaylen Wright
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 14.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 21%
23 yrs · 5′10″, 205 lb · Tennessee · 2024 rd 4 pk 120
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 22.3 | 0.0 – 55.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 4.5 | 0.0 – 11.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 11.0 | 2.2 – 20.8 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 5.4 | 0.0 – 14.5 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.0 – 2.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.2 | 1.7 – 22.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 27.7 | 0.0 – 73.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 11.0% | no range | +806 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 6.1% | no range | +1536 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.3 | 11.0 | 0.00 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 4.00 | 19% | 1.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.0 | 24.8 | 0.20 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 7.0 | 3.33 | 21% | 4.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.4 | 27.0 | 0.20 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 2.80 | 20% | 4.5 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 6% | 0.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6% | 1 |
| 2025 | 9 | 70 | 288 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 12 | 22% | 48 |
| 2024 | 13 | 68 | 249 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 19% | 27 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 22 | 86% | 20.7 | +1.1 |
| Receptions | 22 | 100% | 0.6 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 22 | 100% | 5.0 | -2.3 |
| Rush attempts | 22 | 86% | 3.7 | +0.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 22 | 86% | 20.8 | +0.2 |
| Anytime TD | 22 | 14% vs 9% | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 22 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 22 | 86% | 5.6 | +0.2 |
| Longest reception | 6 | 83% | 4.8 | +0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  SF | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  LV | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  NE | 46% | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  TB | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  CIN | 31% | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  PIT | 8% | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  NYJ | 52% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 107 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  NO | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  WAS | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  BUF | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 |