Malik Washington
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 14.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 78%
25 yrs · 5′8″, 192 lb · Virginia; Northwestern · 2024 rd 6 pk 184
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.4 | 0.0 – 20.2 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 28.9 | 7.1 – 78.0 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.4 | 1.0 – 5.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 21.5 | 5.3 – 35.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 42.9 | 6.8 – 95.4 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 15.1% | no range | +563 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.6% | no range | +2705 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 50.7 | 0.00 | 27% | 0.61 | 0.50 | 86% | 8.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 32.4 | 0.20 | 22% | 0.51 | 0.75 | 78% | 7.9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 27.7 | 0.10 | 18% | 0.38 | 0.67 | 66% | 7.0 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 50.7 | 0.00 | 27% | 0.61 | 0.50 | 86% | 8.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 152 | 0 | 27% | 2 | 1 | 86% | 26 |
| 2025 | 17 | 65 | 46 | 317 | 3 | 14% | 5 | 11 | 57% | 117 |
| 2024 | 14 | 36 | 26 | 223 | 0 | 8% | 2 | 2 | 45% | 57 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often quadricep
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 31 | 13% vs 16% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| Receptions | 31 | 97% | 1.1 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 31 | 90% | 14.0 | +0.9 |
| Rush + rec yards | 31 | 84% | 12.9 | +1.2 |
| First TD scorer | 31 | 4% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 27 | 85% | 7.1 | -0.7 |
| Longest rush | 15 | 80% | 5.9 | +2.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  KC | 86% | 10 | 5 | 56 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  SF | 73% | 5 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  LV | 98% | 8 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  NE | 70% | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  TB | 64% | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  CIN | 53% | 1 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  PIT | 56% | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  NYJ | 52% | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  NO | 60% | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  WAS | 50% | 3 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |