NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Elic Ayomanor

WR
97% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
42.5
Implied team total
15.5
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
72%

23 yrs · 6′2″, 206 lb · Stanford · 2025 rd 4 pk 136

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush6.80.0 – 15.8–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards23.40.0 – 64.9–Solid
Receptions2.10.0 – 3.8–Solid
Longest reception17.25.2 – 37.6–Solid
Rush + rec yards26.50.0 – 69.3–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD12.1%no range+728Solid
First TD scorer2.5%no range+3916Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 333.01.330.30.3312%0.311.6762%6.4
Last 555.22.235.60.4017%0.501.7572%8.2
Last 10104.51.928.30.3015%0.431.6075%6.5
2026 season33.01.330.30.3312%0.311.6762%6.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202639491112%1562%19
2025168941515418%8881%117

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring

2025Hamstring×2

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions16100%1.0+0.2
Receiving yards1688%14.6+3.8
Rush + rec yards1694%15.1+3.2
Anytime TD1618% vs 25%0.3+0.1
Longest reception1681%8.3+0.7
First TD scorer165% vs 6%0.1+0.0

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3NYG80%31110000
2026 wk 2PHI53%32690000
2026 wk 1NYJ52%31110001
2025 wk 18JAX94%103500000
2025 wk 17NO81%74370001
2025 wk 16KC56%43580000
2025 wk 15SF81%11170000
2025 wk 14CLE80%31140001
2025 wk 13JAX85%5150000
2025 wk 11HOU85%62110000