Woody Marks
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 25.8
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 55%
25 yrs · 5′10″, 208 lb · USC; Mississippi State · 2025 rd 4 pk 116
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 40.5 | 5.9 – 74.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 8.5 | 1.0 – 14.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 12.2 | 3.5 – 22.7 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 11.4 | 0.0 – 30.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 0.0 – 3.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 11.2 | 2.0 – 24.4 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 51.8 | 7.1 – 95.8 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 29.1% | no range | +244 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 8.1% | no range | +1137 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 7.3 | 21.7 | 0.33 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 2.50 | 45% | 7.5 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 11.0 | 38.8 | 0.40 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 3.75 | 55% | 8.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.6 | 47.5 | 0.20 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 7.3 | 3.63 | 55% | 8.7 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 7.3 | 21.7 | 0.33 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 2.50 | 45% | 7.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 22 | 65 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 5 | 45% | 23 |
| 2025 | 16 | 196 | 703 | 2 | 36 | 24 | 208 | 41 | 52% | 145 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 18 | 83% | 22.4 | +0.8 |
| Receptions | 18 | 94% | 1.2 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 18 | 78% | 14.1 | -0.2 |
| Rush attempts | 18 | 78% | 4.9 | -0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 18 | 78% | 27.1 | +0.9 |
| Anytime TD | 18 | 24% vs 28% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 18 | 8% vs 11% | 0.2 | +0.1 |
| Longest rush | 18 | 94% | 5.3 | +0.2 |
| Longest reception | 14 | 71% | 9.9 | +2.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  IND | 37% | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  CIN | 48% | 6 | 5 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  BUF | 51% | 1 | 1 | -2 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  NE | 68% | 3 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  PIT | 71% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 112 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 18 | IND | 46% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  LAC | 68% | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  ARI | 22% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  KC | 87% | 3 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 68 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 | IND | 54% | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 64 | 0 | 0 |