Gunnar Helm
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 15.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 75%
24 yrs · 6′5″, 241 lb · Texas · 2025 rd 4 pk 120
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 23.4 | 4.2 – 54.1 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.9 | 0.0 – 5.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 14.8 | 3.6 – 28.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 23.4 | 4.5 – 57.7 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 11.7% | no range | +757 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.5% | no range | +3916 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 18.3 | 0.00 | 14% | 0.25 | 1.00 | 82% | 4.5 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 13.0 | 0.00 | 12% | 0.22 | 1.00 | 75% | 3.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 22.5 | 0.10 | 13% | 0.26 | 1.40 | 67% | 6.0 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 18.3 | 0.00 | 14% | 0.25 | 1.00 | 82% | 4.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 55 | 0 | 14% | 1 | 3 | 82% | 14 |
| 2025 | 16 | 55 | 44 | 357 | 2 | 11% | 3 | 8 | 53% | 92 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often toe
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 16 | 63% | 1.5 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 16 | 88% | 11.7 | +2.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 16 | 75% | 12.0 | +2.1 |
| Anytime TD | 16 | 11% vs 13% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 16 | 88% | 6.0 | +0.5 |
| First TD scorer | 16 | 3% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  NYG | 82% | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  PHI | 87% | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  NYJ | 76% | 5 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  NO | 58% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  KC | 71% | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  SF | 49% | 4 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  CLE | 67% | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  JAX | 53% | 7 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  SEA | 63% | 7 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  HOU | 64% | 5 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |