TreVeyon Henderson
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 21.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 36%
23 yrs · 5′10″, 202 lb · Ohio State · 2025 rd 2 pk 38
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 37.8 | 8.6 – 82.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 8.8 | 1.0 – 16.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 13.7 | 4.4 – 26.6 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 7.6 | 0.0 – 20.5 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.1 | 0.0 – 2.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.4 | 1.3 – 23.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 45.4 | 12.4 – 85.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 24.2% | no range | +313 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.8% | no range | +5495 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 10.0 | 39.3 | 0.33 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 10.7 | 1.00 | 45% | 8.3 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.0 | 29.6 | 0.20 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.00 | 36% | 5.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.5 | 46.1 | 0.50 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 2.50 | 38% | 9.1 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 12.0 | 49.5 | 0.50 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.00 | 49% | 8.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 24 | 99 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 49% | 18 |
| 2025 | 17 | 180 | 911 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 221 | 40 | 46% | 206 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 21 | 76% | 26.4 | +3.1 |
| Receptions | 21 | 90% | 1.3 | +0.3 |
| Receiving yards | 21 | 90% | 8.9 | +1.8 |
| Rush attempts | 21 | 86% | 4.0 | +0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 21 | 71% | 30.7 | +0.9 |
| Anytime TD | 21 | 32% vs 24% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 21 | 8% vs 5% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 21 | 71% | 10.9 | +2.3 |
| Longest reception | 16 | 88% | 4.8 | +0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  JAX | 37% | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  PIT | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 76 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 22 |  SEA | 39% | 3 | 3 | 26 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 21 |  DEN | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  HOU | 38% | 2 | 1 | -2 | 12 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  LAC | 41% | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  MIA | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  NYJ | 52% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  BAL | 19% | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  BUF | 48% | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 148 | 0 | 2 |