Terrance Ferguson
TE
23 yrs · 6′5″, 252 lb · Oregon · 2025 rd 2 pk 46
Projections
Terrance Ferguson is listed Doubtful and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 21.0 | 0.33 | 13% | 0.25 | 1.00 | 45% | 6.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 16.4 | 0.20 | 11% | 0.23 | 1.00 | 45% | 4.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 17.5 | 0.30 | 9% | 0.20 | 1.00 | 52% | 4.9 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 21.0 | 0.33 | 13% | 0.25 | 1.00 | 45% | 6.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 63 | 1 | 13% | 1 | 1 | 45% | 19 |
| 2025 | 11 | 25 | 11 | 231 | 3 | 6% | 2 | 3 | 43% | 52 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 13 | 100% | 0.9 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 13 | 77% | 18.7 | +3.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 13 | 85% | 17.6 | +4.4 |
| Anytime TD | 13 | 11% vs 23% | 0.3 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 13 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 8 | 63% | 13.5 | -3.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  DEN | 26% | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  NYG | 58% | 9 | 6 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  SF | 51% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 21 |  SEA | 59% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  CHI | 29% | 5 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  ATL | 49% | 4 | 2 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 | SEA | 76% | 4 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  DET | 78% | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  ARI | 64% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  CAR | 35% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |