Christian McCaffrey
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.3
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 66%
30 yrs · 5′11″, 210 lb · Stanford · 2017 rd 1 pk 8
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 65.1 | 21.1 – 109.4 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 13.7 | 1.0 – 18.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 20.9 | 5.9 – 33.8 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 31.1 | 6.3 – 71.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 1.0 – 6.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 16.9 | 5.2 – 31.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 96.2 | 28.4 – 145.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 55.4% | no range | -124 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 13.5% | no range | +642 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 11.7 | 55.3 | 1.00 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 34.7 | 3.67 | 63% | 19.3 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 12.2 | 49.8 | 0.60 | 6.2 | 4.8 | 41.8 | 4.50 | 66% | 20.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.5 | 65.5 | 0.60 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 34.8 | 6.00 | 74% | 20.5 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 11.7 | 55.3 | 1.00 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 34.7 | 3.67 | 63% | 19.3 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 35 | 166 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 104 | 11 | 63% | 58 |
| 2025 | 17 | 311 | 1,202 | 10 | 129 | 102 | 924 | 100 | 83% | 417 |
| 2024 | 4 | 50 | 202 | 0 | 19 | 15 | 146 | 11 | 72% | 48 |
| 2023 | 16 | 272 | 1,459 | 14 | 83 | 67 | 564 | 82 | 82% | 391 |
| 2022 | 17 | 244 | 1,139 | 8 | 108 | 85 | 741 | 53 | 74% | 356 |
| 2021 | 7 | 99 | 442 | 1 | 41 | 37 | 343 | 22 | 61% | 128 |
| 2020 | 3 | 59 | 225 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 149 | 15 | 77% | 90 |
| 2019 | 16 | 287 | 1,387 | 15 | 142 | 116 | 1,005 | 71 | 93% | 471 |
| 2018 | 16 | 219 | 1,098 | 7 | 124 | 107 | 867 | 63 | 92% | 386 |
| 2017 | 16 | 117 | 435 | 2 | 113 | 80 | 651 | 28 | 70% | 229 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
10 injury entries across 7 seasons · 11 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often shoulder
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 88 | 77% | 30.8 | +0.2 |
| Receptions | 88 | 78% | 2.3 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 88 | 77% | 24.0 | -1.9 |
| Rush attempts | 88 | 78% | 4.6 | +0.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 88 | 68% | 42.7 | -4.1 |
| Anytime TD | 88 | 50% vs 67% | 0.5 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 88 | 14% vs 16% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 88 | 82% | 12.2 | -0.8 |
| Longest reception | 87 | 87% | 7.4 | +0.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  ARI | 83% | 5 | 4 | 41 | 15 | 75 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  MIA | 52% | 4 | 4 | 43 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  LA | 55% | 8 | 5 | 20 | 10 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  SEA | 52% | 6 | 5 | 39 | 11 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  PHI | 88% | 8 | 6 | 66 | 15 | 48 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 18 | SEA | 86% | 7 | 6 | 34 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  CHI | 85% | 6 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 140 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  IND | 80% | 8 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 117 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  TEN | 84% | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 73 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  CLE | 79% | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 53 | 0 | 1 |