George Kittle
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.3
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 59%
32 yrs · 6′4″, 250 lb · Iowa · 2017 rd 5 pk 146
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 49.7 | 13.2 – 90.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 4.6 | 1.0 – 6.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 21.1 | 7.7 – 32.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 48.6 | 11.8 – 108.8 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 28.6% | no range | +250 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 5.6% | no range | +1690 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 58.0 | 1.00 | 20% | 0.47 | 1.67 | 60% | 15.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 41.8 | 0.60 | 19% | 0.42 | 1.67 | 59% | 11.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 62.4 | 0.70 | 23% | 0.49 | 1.57 | 72% | 15.3 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 58.0 | 1.00 | 20% | 0.47 | 1.67 | 60% | 15.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 174 | 3 | 20% | 1 | 5 | 60% | 47 |
| 2025 | 11 | 69 | 57 | 628 | 7 | 21% | 5 | 13 | 81% | 162 |
| 2024 | 15 | 94 | 78 | 1,106 | 8 | 21% | 7 | 21 | 87% | 237 |
| 2023 | 16 | 90 | 65 | 1,020 | 6 | 20% | 7 | 13 | 90% | 203 |
| 2022 | 15 | 86 | 60 | 765 | 11 | 20% | 6 | 16 | 90% | 201 |
| 2021 | 14 | 94 | 71 | 910 | 6 | 22% | 7 | 9 | 92% | 198 |
| 2020 | 8 | 63 | 48 | 634 | 2 | 24% | 4 | 5 | 83% | 125 |
| 2019 | 14 | 107 | 85 | 1,053 | 5 | 28% | 9 | 17 | 89% | 223 |
| 2018 | 16 | 136 | 88 | 1,377 | 5 | 27% | 9 | 21 | 88% | 259 |
| 2017 | 15 | 63 | 43 | 515 | 2 | 11% | 3 | 16 | 58% | 107 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
16 injury entries across 9 seasons · 8 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 106 | 86% | 2.1 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 106 | 70% | 34.3 | +2.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 106 | 70% | 34.4 | +2.7 |
| Anytime TD | 106 | 31% vs 36% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 106 | 7% vs 5% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 105 | 81% | 10.2 | +0.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  ARI | 85% | 7 | 6 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  MIA | 48% | 4 | 4 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  LA | 46% | 5 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  PHI | 22% | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  SEA | 95% | 7 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  IND | 62% | 8 | 7 | 115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  TEN | 96% | 9 | 8 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  CLE | 87% | 5 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  CAR | 91% | 10 | 6 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | ARI | 87% | 6 | 6 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |