Juwan Johnson
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 69%
30 yrs · 6′4″, 245 lb · Oregon; Penn State
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 38.3 | 8.9 – 74.4 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 4.1 | 1.0 – 6.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 19.0 | 7.5 – 29.8 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 40.6 | 9.0 – 86.7 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 27.5% | no range | +263 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 4.3% | no range | +2223 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 57.7 | 1.00 | 15% | 0.29 | 2.00 | 66% | 16.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 65.8 | 0.60 | 15% | 0.33 | 2.00 | 69% | 13.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 57.1 | 0.30 | 17% | 0.35 | 1.75 | 68% | 12.0 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 57.7 | 1.00 | 15% | 0.29 | 2.00 | 66% | 16.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 173 | 3 | 15% | 1 | 6 | 66% | 48 |
| 2025 | 17 | 102 | 77 | 889 | 3 | 18% | 6 | 8 | 75% | 180 |
| 2024 | 15 | 66 | 50 | 548 | 3 | 14% | 4 | 8 | 67% | 123 |
| 2023 | 13 | 59 | 37 | 368 | 4 | 14% | 4 | 8 | 65% | 98 |
| 2022 | 16 | 65 | 42 | 508 | 7 | 15% | 5 | 11 | 65% | 135 |
| 2021 | 13 | 22 | 13 | 159 | 4 | 7% | 2 | 7 | 26% | 53 |
| 2020 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 6% | 1 | 1 | 45% | 8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
8 injury entries across 4 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often calf
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 79 | 18% vs 23% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| Receptions | 79 | 84% | 1.3 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 79 | 82% | 18.4 | +0.5 |
| Rush + rec yards | 79 | 85% | 18.0 | +0.9 |
| First TD scorer | 79 | 4% vs 3% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 71 | 86% | 7.4 | +0.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  LV | 62% | 8 | 8 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  BAL | 53% | 4 | 4 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  DET | 84% | 7 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  ATL | 75% | 5 | 3 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  TEN | 72% | 4 | 4 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NYJ | 65% | 9 | 8 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CAR | 61% | 4 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TB | 53% | 4 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  MIA | 72% | 9 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 | ATL | 78% | 7 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |