Adam Trautman
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.3
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 59%
29 yrs · 6′5″, 253 lb · Dayton · 2020 rd 3 pk 105
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 16.1 | 0.0 – 36.4 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.1 | 0.0 – 3.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 12.7 | 3.0 – 25.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 18.8 | 0.0 – 39.1 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 10.2% | no range | +883 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.6% | no range | +6004 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 11.3 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.14 | – | 55% | 2.5 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 13.0 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.13 | – | 59% | 2.9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 14.7 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.11 | – | 63% | 3.0 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 11% | 0.16 | – | 37% | 3.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 11% | 0 | – | 37% | 3 |
| 2025 | 13 | 23 | 20 | 195 | 1 | 5% | 1 | 1 | 60% | 45 |
| 2024 | 13 | 22 | 13 | 188 | 2 | 5% | 1 | 5 | 54% | 44 |
| 2023 | 16 | 35 | 22 | 204 | 3 | 8% | 3 | 13 | 70% | 60 |
| 2022 | 12 | 22 | 18 | 207 | 1 | 7% | 2 | 3 | 57% | 45 |
| 2021 | 11 | 43 | 27 | 263 | 2 | 13% | 3 | 9 | 77% | 63 |
| 2020 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 171 | 1 | 5% | 1 | 3 | 45% | 38 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 78 | 90% | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 78 | 95% | 13.2 | +0.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 78 | 91% | 12.9 | +0.3 |
| Anytime TD | 78 | 13% vs 13% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 78 | 3% vs 1% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 64 | 80% | 7.2 | +0.6 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 1 |  KC | 37% | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  BUF | 56% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 | KC | 72% | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  JAX | 58% | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LV | 74% | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  WAS | 59% | 4 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | KC | 66% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 | LV | 69% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  HOU | 73% | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  DAL | 63% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |