Chris Olave
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 85%
26 yrs · 6′0″, 187 lb · Ohio State · 2022 rd 1 pk 11
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.6 | 0.0 – 16.5 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 63.4 | 22.2 – 126.8 | – | Differs from form |
| Receptions | 5.8 | 1.0 – 8.7 | – | Differs from form |
| Longest reception | 25.3 | 10.1 – 45.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 61.1 | 17.7 – 133.6 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 38.3% | no range | +161 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 5.8% | no range | +1623 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 125.0 | 0.33 | 30% | 0.77 | 2.00 | 85% | 23.5 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 12.6 | 9.0 | 128.4 | 0.80 | 33% | 0.83 | 1.75 | 85% | 26.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.5 | 7.2 | 97.8 | 0.70 | 30% | 0.79 | 1.43 | 82% | 21.2 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 125.0 | 0.33 | 30% | 0.77 | 2.00 | 85% | 23.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 36 | 27 | 375 | 1 | 30% | 2 | 4 | 85% | 71 |
| 2025 | 16 | 156 | 100 | 1,163 | 9 | 29% | 12 | 15 | 84% | 268 |
| 2024 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 400 | 1 | 20% | 4 | 6 | 62% | 77 |
| 2023 | 16 | 138 | 87 | 1,123 | 5 | 25% | 10 | 13 | 74% | 231 |
| 2022 | 15 | 119 | 72 | 1,042 | 4 | 26% | 10 | 12 | 66% | 198 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
11 injury entries across 5 seasons · 5 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 55 | 78% | 2.1 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 55 | 62% | 30.1 | +3.5 |
| Rush + rec yards | 55 | 71% | 30.6 | +3.2 |
| Anytime TD | 55 | 28% vs 31% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 55 | 71% | 12.5 | +0.9 |
| First TD scorer | 55 | 7% vs 4% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 2 | 50% | 4.1 | – |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  LV | 84% | 13 | 9 | 107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  BAL | 84% | 10 | 8 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  DET | 86% | 13 | 10 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  TEN | 91% | 11 | 8 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NYJ | 78% | 16 | 10 | 148 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CAR | 84% | 9 | 6 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TB | 93% | 5 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  MIA | 88% | 7 | 4 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  ATL | 80% | 13 | 9 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 | CAR | 54% | 8 | 5 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |