Jahan Dotson
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 70%
26 yrs · 5′11″, 184 lb · Penn State · 2022 rd 1 pk 16
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 5.2 | 0.0 – 14.9 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 24.6 | 0.0 – 63.0 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.9 | 0.0 – 3.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 18.8 | 5.5 – 36.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 24.0 | 0.0 – 66.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 11.1% | no range | +804 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.7% | no range | +5773 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 13.7 | 0.00 | 14% | 0.51 | – | 68% | 2.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 16.2 | 0.00 | 14% | 0.44 | 2.00 | 70% | 3.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 10.9 | 0.00 | 10% | 0.31 | 1.50 | 63% | 2.3 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 13.7 | 0.00 | 14% | 0.51 | – | 68% | 2.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 14% | 2 | – | 68% | 8 |
| 2025 | 15 | 36 | 18 | 262 | 1 | 8% | 3 | 5 | 58% | 50 |
| 2024 | 14 | 33 | 19 | 216 | 0 | 8% | 3 | 1 | 60% | 42 |
| 2023 | 17 | 83 | 49 | 518 | 4 | 14% | 5 | 12 | 83% | 125 |
| 2022 | 12 | 61 | 35 | 523 | 7 | 16% | 5 | 10 | 75% | 131 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 61 | 87% | 1.4 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 61 | 85% | 22.5 | -0.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 61 | 90% | 22.1 | +0.5 |
| Anytime TD | 61 | 18% vs 20% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 61 | 4% vs 3% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 49 | 86% | 10.5 | +1.8 |
| Longest rush | 3 | 67% | 10.3 | +2.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  GB | 66% | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  CAR | 75% | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  PIT | 63% | 3 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  SF | 52% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  WAS | 94% | 8 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  BUF | 48% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | WAS | 66% | 3 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LAC | 49% | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  CHI | 59% | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  DAL | 54% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |