Brian Robinson
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 27%
27 yrs · 6′1″, 225 lb · Alabama · 2022 rd 3 pk 98
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 39.2 | 5.4 – 70.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 8.0 | 1.0 – 15.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 14.2 | 4.1 – 25.1 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 6.2 | 0.0 – 19.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.0 – 2.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 9.8 | 2.2 – 23.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 45.4 | 6.8 – 85.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 23.4% | no range | +327 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.2% | no range | +3072 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 10.0 | 44.0 | 0.33 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 1.00 | 33% | 7.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.6 | 27.2 | 0.20 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 27% | 4.9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.1 | 23.4 | 0.10 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 2.00 | 22% | 3.6 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 10.0 | 44.0 | 0.33 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 1.00 | 33% | 7.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 30 | 132 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 33% | 23 |
| 2025 | 17 | 92 | 400 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 17 | 17% | 63 |
| 2024 | 14 | 187 | 799 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 159 | 46 | 52% | 160 |
| 2023 | 15 | 178 | 733 | 5 | 43 | 36 | 368 | 33 | 49% | 198 |
| 2022 | 12 | 205 | 797 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 25 | 42% | 113 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
4 injury entries across 3 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 63 | 78% | 21.4 | +0.8 |
| Receptions | 63 | 89% | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 63 | 90% | 10.4 | +0.7 |
| Rush attempts | 63 | 79% | 4.3 | +0.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 63 | 81% | 26.1 | +2.2 |
| Anytime TD | 63 | 31% vs 33% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 63 | 7% vs 11% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 60 | 85% | 6.5 | +0.4 |
| Longest reception | 37 | 86% | 6.8 | +0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  GB | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  CAR | 48% | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  PIT | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  SEA | 25% | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  PHI | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | SEA | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  CHI | 15% | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  IND | 15% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  TEN | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  CLE | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 0 |