NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Devaughn Vele

WR
72% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
47.5
Implied team total
25.0
Depth
#2
Recent snaps
85%

28 yrs · 6′5″, 210 lb · Utah · 2024 rd 7 pk 235

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush7.30.0 – 14.2–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards41.48.8 – 87.7–Solid
Receptions3.91.0 – 6.1–Solid
Longest reception19.97.1 – 36.2–Solid
Rush + rec yards42.06.7 – 93.2–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD17.5%no range+472Solid
First TD scorer5.8%no range+1623Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 337.35.057.30.3318%0.451.0092%12.7
Last 556.64.656.20.2020%0.481.0085%11.4
Last 10105.83.844.90.2017%0.411.2078%9.5
2026 season37.35.057.30.3318%0.451.0092%12.7

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202632215172118%1392%38
202593925293213%3562%66
2024135541475313%4753%106

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often hip

2025Hip×2
2024Ribs

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions2378%1.7+0.2
Receiving yards2378%22.1+2.3
Rush + rec yards2383%20.9+3.4
Anytime TD2315% vs 22%0.3+0.0
First TD scorer233% vs 4%0.1+0.0
Longest reception2190%6.2+2.1

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3LV88%63390000
2026 wk 2BAL96%75640000
2026 wk 1DET91%97690001
2025 wk 15CAR55%65690000
2025 wk 14TB93%53400000
2025 wk 13MIA88%88930001
2025 wk 12ATL89%73370000
2025 wk 10CAR87%31150000
2025 wk 8TB51%51100000
2025 wk 5NYG38%22130000