Bo Nix
QB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.3
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 100%
26 yrs · 6′2″, 217 lb · Oregon; Auburn · 2024 rd 1 pk 12
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | ||||
| Passing yards | 227.9 | 115.2 – 326.2 | – | Solid |
| Passing TDs | 1.4 | 0.0 – 2.9 | – | Solid |
| Completions | 22.2 | 12.9 – 29.2 | – | Solid |
| Pass attempts | 33.9 | 17.6 – 44.1 | – | Solid |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.0 – 2.2 | – | Solid |
| Pass + rush yards | 247.9 | 133.5 – 343.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest completion | 41.5 | 20.0 – 59.8 | – | Solid |
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 20.0 | 0.0 – 38.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 3.4 | 1.0 – 7.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 10.9 | 2.1 – 19.7 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 15.7% | no range | +537 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.9% | no range | +2442 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 31.0 | 18.7 | 201.7 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.67 | 14.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 32.4 | 19.2 | 205.0 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 6.4 | 18.6 | 1.80 | 15.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 36.4 | 23.3 | 239.4 | 1.40 | 0.70 | 5.7 | 18.7 | 1.50 | 17.4 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 31.0 | 18.7 | 201.7 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.67 | 14.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 93 | 56 | 605 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 44 |
| 2025 | 17 | 612 | 388 | 3,931 | 25 | 11 | 83 | 356 | 22 | 305 |
| 2024 | 17 | 567 | 376 | 3,775 | 29 | 12 | 92 | 430 | 24 | 317 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 36 | 86% | 58.6 | +6.5 |
| Passing TDs | 36 | 81% | 1.0 | +0.1 |
| Completions | 36 | 89% | 4.6 | +0.1 |
| Rushing yards | 36 | 75% | 16.1 | +2.3 |
| Pass attempts | 36 | 81% | 6.0 | +0.4 |
| Interceptions | 36 | 83% | 0.7 | +0.1 |
| Pass + rush yards | 36 | 83% | 56.2 | +8.2 |
| Rush attempts | 36 | 83% | 2.3 | -0.1 |
| Anytime TD | 36 | 21% vs 25% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 36 | 4% vs 8% | 0.1 | +0.1 |
| Longest completion | 36 | 92% | 9.1 | +0.6 |
| Longest rush | 35 | 69% | 6.3 | +1.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  LA | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 186 | 3 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  JAX | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 288 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  KC | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 131 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  BUF | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 279 | 3 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  LAC | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 49 | 141 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 | KC | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 182 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 16 | JAX | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 352 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  GB | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 302 | 4 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LV | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 212 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  WAS | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 321 | 1 |