Pat Bryant
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.3
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 43%
23 yrs · 6′2″, 204 lb · Illinois · 2025 rd 3 pk 74
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.8 | 0.0 – 15.5 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 22.5 | 0.0 – 58.9 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.4 | 0.0 – 4.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 16.8 | 4.8 – 35.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 28.1 | 0.0 – 71.1 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 10.5% | no range | +856 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.8% | no range | +5439 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 28.7 | 0.33 | 11% | 0.25 | 2.00 | 65% | 8.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 0.20 | 9% | 0.19 | 1.00 | 43% | 6.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 34.9 | 0.10 | 13% | 0.33 | 1.00 | 52% | 7.6 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 28.7 | 0.33 | 11% | 0.25 | 2.00 | 65% | 8.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 86 | 1 | 11% | 1 | 2 | 65% | 24 |
| 2025 | 13 | 49 | 31 | 378 | 1 | 11% | 4 | 8 | 53% | 75 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 1 season · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 15 | 93% | 1.3 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 15 | 93% | 15.2 | +2.6 |
| Rush + rec yards | 15 | 93% | 15.8 | +1.9 |
| Anytime TD | 15 | 13% vs 7% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 15 | 3% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 13 | 77% | 10.3 | +2.3 |
| Longest rush | 1 | 100% | 5.1 | – |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  LA | 70% | 2 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  JAX | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  KC | 59% | 6 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 21 |  NE | 16% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  BUF | 4% | 3 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  LAC | 66% | 5 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | JAX | 64% | 8 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LV | 47% | 4 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  WAS | 70% | 7 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | KC | 56% | 6 | 5 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |