NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

RJ Harvey

RB
83% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
47.5
Implied team total
22.3
Depth
#2
Recent snaps
52%

25 yrs · 5′8″, 205 lb · UCF; Virginia · 2025 rd 2 pk 60

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards23.63.1 – 67.9–Solid
Rush attempts6.11.0 – 13.5–Solid
Longest rush10.22.2 – 22.6–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards22.40.0 – 52.1–Solid
Receptions3.31.0 – 5.9–Solid
Longest reception11.93.3 – 25.2–Solid
Rush + rec yards46.113.2 – 92.3–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD25.5%no range+292Solid
First TD scorer5.6%no range+1690Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 336.020.30.005.74.728.71.5047%9.6
Last 557.821.80.005.44.027.43.0052%8.9
Last 101010.937.70.504.93.829.34.0056%13.9
2026 season22.512.00.005.55.032.02.0044%9.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
202625240111064244%19
202517146540758473564042%207

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · most often hamstring

2026Hamstring

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards1974%23.6+1.2
Receptions1984%1.5+0.2
Receiving yards1974%15.0+1.2
Rush attempts1984%4.0+0.4
Rush + rec yards1984%23.9+4.7
Anytime TD1927% vs 47%0.5+0.0
First TD scorer197% vs 5%0.1-0.0
Longest rush1974%8.8+2.8
Longest reception1878%6.1+1.1

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3LA36%76412600
2026 wk 1KC51%442331800
2025 wk 21NE53%6422133700
2025 wk 20BUF62%654662000
2025 wk 18LAC56%415152800
2025 wk 17KC65%6533144301
2025 wk 16JAX59%547175001
2025 wk 15GB68%100196501
2025 wk 14LV68%6625177501
2025 wk 13WAS47%4327133502