RJ Harvey
RB- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.3
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 52%
25 yrs · 5′8″, 205 lb · UCF; Virginia · 2025 rd 2 pk 60
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 23.6 | 3.1 – 67.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 6.1 | 1.0 – 13.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 10.2 | 2.2 – 22.6 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 22.4 | 0.0 – 52.1 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 1.0 – 5.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 11.9 | 3.3 – 25.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 46.1 | 13.2 – 92.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 25.5% | no range | +292 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 5.6% | no range | +1690 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.0 | 20.3 | 0.00 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 28.7 | 1.50 | 47% | 9.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.8 | 21.8 | 0.00 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 27.4 | 3.00 | 52% | 8.9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.9 | 37.7 | 0.50 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 29.3 | 4.00 | 56% | 13.9 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 2.5 | 12.0 | 0.00 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 2.00 | 44% | 9.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 64 | 2 | 44% | 19 |
| 2025 | 17 | 146 | 540 | 7 | 58 | 47 | 356 | 40 | 42% | 207 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 19 | 74% | 23.6 | +1.2 |
| Receptions | 19 | 84% | 1.5 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 19 | 74% | 15.0 | +1.2 |
| Rush attempts | 19 | 84% | 4.0 | +0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 19 | 84% | 23.9 | +4.7 |
| Anytime TD | 19 | 27% vs 47% | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 19 | 7% vs 5% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 19 | 74% | 8.8 | +2.8 |
| Longest reception | 18 | 78% | 6.1 | +1.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 | 36% | 7 | 6 | 41 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2026 wk 1 | 51% | 4 | 4 | 23 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 21 | 53% | 6 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 37 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 20 | 62% | 6 | 5 | 46 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 18 | 56% | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 17 | 65% | 6 | 5 | 33 | 14 | 43 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2025 wk 16 | 59% | 5 | 4 | 71 | 7 | 50 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2025 wk 15 | 68% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 65 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2025 wk 14 | 68% | 6 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 75 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2025 wk 13 | 47% | 4 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 35 | 0 | 2 |