Tyler Shough
QB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 100%
27 yrs · 6′5″, 219 lb · Louisville; Texas Tech; Oregon · 2025 rd 2 pk 40
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | ||||
| Passing yards | 259.1 | 137.9 – 348.5 | – | Solid |
| Passing TDs | 1.6 | 0.0 – 3.3 | – | Solid |
| Completions | 23.4 | 14.9 – 31.6 | – | Solid |
| Pass attempts | 34.9 | 21.7 – 42.5 | – | Solid |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.0 – 1.8 | – | Solid |
| Pass + rush yards | 283.8 | 162.4 – 368.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest completion | 39.4 | 19.8 – 56.5 | – | Solid |
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 24.7 | 3.8 – 49.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 4.6 | 1.0 – 8.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 11.8 | 3.2 – 23.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 20.7% | no range | +383 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 4.3% | no range | +2223 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 44.0 | 30.3 | 305.7 | 2.67 | 1.00 | 4.7 | 22.3 | 3.33 | 23.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 38.8 | 27.2 | 301.8 | 2.20 | 0.80 | 4.2 | 21.4 | 3.20 | 22.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 37.6 | 26.1 | 271.5 | 1.50 | 0.70 | 5.1 | 24.2 | 3.60 | 19.5 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 44.0 | 30.3 | 305.7 | 2.67 | 1.00 | 4.7 | 22.3 | 3.33 | 23.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 132 | 91 | 917 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 67 | 10 | 69 |
| 2025 | 11 | 327 | 221 | 2,384 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 186 | 31 | 158 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
No injury report entries on record. Reports go back to 2009, so this is genuinely a clean sheet rather than missing data — unless he arrived before then.
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 11 | 12% vs 18% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| Passing yards | 11 | 64% | 74.0 | +13.9 |
| Passing TDs | 11 | 100% | 0.7 | +0.1 |
| Completions | 11 | 73% | 6.4 | +1.9 |
| Rushing yards | 11 | 82% | 14.3 | +1.7 |
| Pass attempts | 11 | 73% | 9.3 | +2.8 |
| Interceptions | 11 | 100% | 0.5 | +0.1 |
| Pass + rush yards | 11 | 82% | 69.6 | +15.5 |
| Rush attempts | 11 | 91% | 2.5 | +0.4 |
| First TD scorer | 11 | 3% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 10 | 80% | 7.7 | +0.8 |
| Longest completion | 10 | 40% | 14.7 | +1.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  LV | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 255 | 4 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  BAL | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 252 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  DET | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 410 | 3 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  ATL | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 259 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  TEN | 98% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 333 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NYJ | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 308 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CAR | 99% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 272 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TB | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 55 | 144 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  MIA | 99% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 239 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 12 | ATL | 95% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 243 | 0 |