NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

DJ Moore

WR
97% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
48.5
Implied team total
27.5
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
66%

29 yrs · 6′0″, 213 lb · Maryland · 2018 rd 1 pk 24

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush8.50.0 – 17.1–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards41.18.0 – 88.9–Solid
Receptions3.71.0 – 5.4–Solid
Longest reception21.17.3 – 42.2–Solid
Rush + rec yards50.67.1 – 103.2–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD29.0%no range+245Differs from form
First TD scorer5.5%no range+1717Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 336.03.755.70.3322%0.542.0057%11.2
Last 556.64.456.60.6020%0.471.3366%13.7
Last 10105.53.446.30.6018%0.421.1777%11.8
2026 season36.03.755.70.3322%0.542.0057%11.2

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202631811167122%2257%34
2025178550682616%61185%172
20241714098966627%102394%238
202317136961,364829%121491%287
20221711863888729%141196%199
202117163931,157428%121587%238
202015118661,193425%10987%211
201915135871,175424%91487%230
2018168255788215%6869%159

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

7 injury entries across 7 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2026Shoulder
2025Illness
2024Quadricep
2023Ankle
2022Ankle
2021Hamstring×2
2019Concussion

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions11782%2.0-0.1
Receiving yards11771%30.6+3.4
Rush + rec yards11775%31.1+3.6
Anytime TD11728% vs 29%0.4+0.0
First TD scorer1177% vs 7%0.1+0.0
Longest reception11578%10.9+1.4
Longest rush4680%4.8+1.2

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3LAC64%106670000
2026 wk 2DET31%0001-100
2026 wk 1HOU76%851000001
2025 wk 20LA72%85521801
2025 wk 19GB86%76641-501
2025 wk 18DET85%31110000
2025 wk 17SF92%4170000
2025 wk 16GB95%759711201
2025 wk 15CLE88%54690002
2025 wk 14GB83%31-40000