DET@
BUF31–41
Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills · 2026 week 2 · Thu, Sep 17, 8:15 PM ET
Highmark Stadium
Spread
BUF -5.5
Total
54.5
DET implied
24.5
BUF implied
30.0
Rain, partially cloudy
forecastTemp
55°F
Wind
18 mph
at or above 15 mph — flagged in the model
Precip
100%
Humidity
94%
2026 form
league rank of 32| Metric | DET2–1 | BUF3–0 |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / playoff | 0.1346 | 0.1704 |
| Success rateoff | 50.9%4 | 48.3%7 |
| Yards / playoff | 5.6210 | 6.633 |
| Explosive rateoff | 10.3%8 | 13.7%1 |
| Red-zone TDoff | 86.7%2 | 66.7%6 |
| Third downoff | 41.6%12 | 55.1%2 |
| EPA / playdef | 0.16630 | 0.05723 |
| Success alloweddef | 48.2%28 | 46.5%24 |
| Yards alloweddef | 5.8824 | 5.4516 |
| Pass EPA alloweddef | 0.25528 | 0.09619 |
| Rush EPA alloweddef | -0.02925 | -0.07219 |
| Pass ratestyle | 62.2%14 | 56.5%23 |
| PROEstyle | +1.19 | -1.313 |
| Sec / playstyle | 29.99 | 30.011 |
| Plays / gamestyle | 64.76 | 58.716 |
Projections
191 across 16 marketsPassing
Passing yards
2Passing TDs
2Completions
2Pass attempts
2Interceptions
2Pass + rush yards
2Longest completion
2Rushing
Rushing yards
8- Jahmyr Gibbs75.1+23.8%under
- James Cook74.3+15.0%under
- Josh Allen39.3+8.7%over
- Ray Davis17.8+41.5%over
- Ty JohnsonQ15.7
+3 more on the slate table
Rush attempts
8- Jahmyr Gibbs16.3+21.6%under
- James Cook13.2+44.9%under
- Josh Allen7.9+1.6%over
- Ray Davis4.7
- Ty JohnsonQ3.6
+3 more on the slate table
Longest rush
19- Jahmyr Gibbs22.6+7.0%over
- Josh Allen18.8+20.9%over
- James Cook15.4+4.2%under
- Ray Davis10.3
- Ty JohnsonQ9.1
+14 more on the slate table
Receiving
Receiving yards
23- Amon-Ra St. Brown82.4
- DJ Moore62.4
- Jameson Williams61.4+2.0%over
- Khalil Shakir46.6+1.4%over
- Dalton Kincaid45.7+12.4%under
+18 more on the slate table
Receptions
23- Amon-Ra St. Brown6.6+14.4%under
- Khalil Shakir5.2+27.8%over
- Jahmyr Gibbs4.8+11.9%over
- Sam LaPorta4.8+8.7%over
- Jameson Williams4.6+1.0%over
+18 more on the slate table
Longest reception
23- DJ Moore25.5
- Khalil Shakir24.9+25.1%over
- Jameson Williams23.7
- Amon-Ra St. Brown23.4+5.8%over
- Dalton Kincaid20.5+0.4%under
+18 more on the slate table
Rush + rec yards
23- Jahmyr Gibbs107.9+16.7%under
- James Cook94.3+10.9%under
- Amon-Ra St. Brown76.4
- DJ Moore58.1
- Jameson Williams57.2
+18 more on the slate table
Touchdowns
Anytime TD
25+20 more on the slate table
First TD scorer
25+20 more on the slate table
Not available this week
36 players with no projection- FSAvonte MaddoxIR
- OTBen BartchOUT
- LBDamone ClarkIR
- LBDevin WhiteOUT
- WRDJ MooreOUT
- CBDorian StrongPUP
- DTEd OliverOUT
- RBIsiah PachecoIR
- DTMekhi WingoOUT
- LBMichael DannaOUT
- RBTy JohnsonOUT
- WRTyrell ShaversPUP
- TEAnthony FirkserFA
- CBArthur MauletFA
- WRBrandin CooksFA
- OTChris HubbardFA
- WRCurtis SamuelFA
- OTDan SkipperFA
- CBDarius SlayFA
- SAFDarnell SavageFA
- WRGabe DavisFA
- TEGiovanni RicciFA
- CGraham GlasgowFA
- CBJalen MillsFA
- DEJoey BosaFA
- DTJordan PhillipsFA
- FSJordan PoyerFA
- DTLarry OgunjobiFA
- OLBMatt MilanoFA
- OLBMatthew JudonFA
- WRMecole HardmanFA
- DEPat O'ConnorFA
- OTTaylor DeckerFA
- CBTre'Davious WhiteFA
- TETyler ConklinFA
- ILBZach CunninghamFA