Jameson Williams
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 27.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 88%
25 yrs · 6′1″, 184 lb · Alabama; Ohio State · 2022 rd 1 pk 12
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.0 | 0.0 – 14.6 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 53.3 | 11.9 – 94.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.4 | 1.0 – 6.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 23.6 | 8.6 – 38.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 47.5 | 7.6 – 97.8 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 21.9% | no range | +357 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 5.3% | no range | +1793 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 42.3 | 0.00 | 16% | 0.47 | 1.00 | 88% | 7.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 47.6 | 0.00 | 16% | 0.42 | 1.00 | 88% | 8.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 68.2 | 0.20 | 20% | 0.52 | 1.20 | 91% | 12.4 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 42.3 | 0.00 | 16% | 0.47 | 1.00 | 88% | 7.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 127 | 0 | 16% | 1 | 1 | 88% | 23 |
| 2025 | 17 | 102 | 65 | 1,117 | 7 | 19% | 9 | 9 | 90% | 220 |
| 2024 | 15 | 91 | 58 | 1,001 | 7 | 19% | 8 | 11 | 80% | 212 |
| 2023 | 12 | 42 | 24 | 354 | 2 | 10% | 4 | 4 | 53% | 80 |
| 2022 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 41 | 1 | 4% | 1 | – | 19% | 15 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 2 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 54 | 85% | 1.5 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 54 | 72% | 30.3 | +1.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 54 | 74% | 30.4 | +1.8 |
| Anytime TD | 54 | 23% vs 37% | 0.4 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 54 | 5% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 45 | 69% | 15.1 | +1.8 |
| Longest rush | 21 | 67% | 10.6 | +4.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  NYJ | 82% | 4 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  BUF | 97% | 4 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  NO | 84% | 9 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CHI | 95% | 8 | 6 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  MIN | 83% | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  PIT | 95% | 9 | 5 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  LA | 91% | 10 | 7 | 134 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  DAL | 92% | 9 | 7 | 96 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  GB | 94% | 10 | 7 | 144 | 1 | -5 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  NYG | 97% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |