Khalil Shakir
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 27.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 62%
26 yrs · 6′0″, 190 lb · Boise State · 2022 rd 5 pk 148
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 8.7 | 0.0 – 19.8 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 37.2 | 6.9 – 73.9 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.9 | 1.0 – 7.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 19.5 | 6.2 – 37.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 33.9 | 5.6 – 83.9 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 21.1% | no range | +374 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 5.5% | no range | +1717 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 31.3 | 0.00 | 18% | 0.38 | 2.00 | 58% | 5.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 50.2 | 0.00 | 22% | 0.42 | 2.25 | 62% | 10.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 40.6 | 0.10 | 21% | 0.38 | 1.75 | 60% | 9.2 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 31.3 | 0.00 | 18% | 0.38 | 2.00 | 58% | 5.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 94 | 0 | 18% | 1 | 4 | 58% | 17 |
| 2025 | 16 | 95 | 72 | 719 | 4 | 21% | 6 | 15 | 60% | 166 |
| 2024 | 15 | 100 | 76 | 821 | 4 | 23% | 7 | 10 | 61% | 183 |
| 2023 | 16 | 45 | 39 | 611 | 2 | 9% | 3 | 3 | 54% | 113 |
| 2022 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 161 | 1 | 6% | 1 | 1 | 31% | 34 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 66 | 85% | 1.7 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 66 | 80% | 22.2 | +3.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 66 | 80% | 22.4 | +3.3 |
| Anytime TD | 66 | 22% vs 20% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 66 | 5% vs 2% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 60 | 80% | 10.7 | +1.9 |
| Longest rush | 4 | 100% | 3.3 | +0.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  LAC | 73% | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  DET | 49% | 6 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  HOU | 53% | 6 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  DEN | 64% | 9 | 7 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  JAX | 71% | 12 | 12 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  PHI | 78% | 7 | 6 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  CLE | 48% | 5 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  NE | 69% | 5 | 5 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  CIN | 50% | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  PIT | 49% | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |