Jahmyr Gibbs
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 27.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 73%
24 yrs · 5′9″, 202 lb · Alabama; Georgia Tech · 2023 rd 1 pk 12
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 83.9 | 30.6 – 120.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 15.7 | 1.0 – 23.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 29.6 | 8.4 – 49.2 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 30.8 | 7.7 – 71.5 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 4.4 | 1.0 – 7.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 15.2 | 5.6 – 29.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 114.7 | 44.7 – 158.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 54.3% | no range | -119 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 17.2% | no range | +482 | Likely too high |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 21.7 | 102.3 | 1.33 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 52.0 | 7.67 | 75% | 32.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 20.2 | 85.6 | 0.80 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 42.4 | 5.60 | 73% | 25.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.8 | 79.8 | 0.90 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 43.8 | 4.50 | 75% | 26.2 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 21.7 | 102.3 | 1.33 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 52.0 | 7.67 | 75% | 32.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 65 | 307 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 156 | 23 | 75% | 98 |
| 2025 | 17 | 243 | 1,223 | 13 | 94 | 77 | 616 | 67 | 67% | 367 |
| 2024 | 17 | 250 | 1,412 | 16 | 63 | 52 | 517 | 67 | 55% | 363 |
| 2023 | 15 | 182 | 945 | 10 | 71 | 52 | 316 | 46 | 56% | 242 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 53 | 72% | 32.9 | +2.0 |
| Receptions | 53 | 79% | 2.0 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 53 | 70% | 19.9 | +0.7 |
| Rush attempts | 53 | 87% | 3.9 | +0.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 53 | 68% | 38.2 | +2.5 |
| Anytime TD | 53 | 51% vs 66% | 0.5 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 53 | 10% vs 21% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 53 | 77% | 10.7 | +3.0 |
| Longest reception | 50 | 80% | 7.5 | +1.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  NYJ | 69% | 8 | 7 | 65 | 20 | 99 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  BUF | 83% | 8 | 6 | 61 | 16 | 52 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  NO | 74% | 5 | 5 | 30 | 29 | 156 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CHI | 71% | 5 | 3 | 33 | 19 | 80 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  MIN | 69% | 3 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  PIT | 86% | 13 | 10 | 66 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  LA | 81% | 7 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  DAL | 69% | 7 | 7 | 77 | 12 | 43 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  GB | 70% | 4 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  NYG | 74% | 12 | 11 | 45 | 15 | 219 | 0 | 3 |