Ray Davis
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 27.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 31%
26 yrs · 5′8″, 211 lb · Kentucky; Vanderbilt; Temple · 2024 rd 4 pk 128
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 14.2 | 0.0 – 41.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 3.2 | 0.0 – 8.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 9.3 | 1.6 – 19.3 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 6.9 | 0.0 – 19.8 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 0.0 – 2.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.1 | 2.4 – 21.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 21.0 | 0.0 – 54.7 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 13.0% | no range | +667 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.6% | no range | +6094 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 11.0 | – | 19% | 1.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.4 | 30.8 | 0.00 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 11.2 | 5.00 | 31% | 6.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.5 | 23.4 | 0.00 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 10.1 | 5.00 | 22% | 4.8 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 12% | 0.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 12% | 0 |
| 2025 | 17 | 58 | 275 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 86 | 12 | 14% | 64 |
| 2024 | 17 | 113 | 442 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 189 | 21 | 24% | 116 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 1 season · most often calf
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 39 | 87% | 19.4 | +1.1 |
| Receptions | 39 | 90% | 0.7 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 39 | 79% | 9.3 | +1.2 |
| Rush attempts | 39 | 72% | 4.0 | +0.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 39 | 77% | 23.6 | +1.2 |
| Anytime TD | 39 | 15% vs 23% | 0.3 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 39 | 3% vs 3% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 28 | 86% | 5.9 | -0.1 |
| Longest reception | 20 | 65% | 10.0 | +3.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  DET | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  HOU | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  DEN | 35% | 2 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  JAX | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  NYJ | 64% | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | 151 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  PHI | 13% | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  CLE | 16% | 2 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  NE | 9% | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  CIN | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  PIT | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 62 | 0 | 0 |