NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Isaac TeSlaa

WR
96% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
51.5
Implied team total
27.5
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
61%

24 yrs · 6′4″, 214 lb · Arkansas; Hillsdale · 2025 rd 3 pk 70

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush6.50.0 – 15.2–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards22.00.0 – 55.3–Solid
Receptions1.90.0 – 3.3–Solid
Longest reception21.04.9 – 33.5–Solid
Rush + rec yards17.10.0 – 58.3–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD14.2%no range+605Solid
First TD scorer5.0%no range+1893Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 333.01.730.70.008%0.221.0064%4.7
Last 552.81.831.80.208%0.231.0061%6.2
Last 10102.81.726.60.408%0.221.4363%6.8
2026 season33.01.730.70.008%0.221.0064%4.7

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
20263959208%1264%14
202514271623966%21143%76

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

2 injury entries across 1 season · most often oblique

2025Oblique×2Hand

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions1493%0.8+0.2
Receiving yards14100%12.7+3.0
Rush + rec yards1493%13.0+2.7
Anytime TD1410% vs 43%0.4+0.1
First TD scorer142% vs 7%0.1+0.0
Longest reception9100%5.5+1.9

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3NYJ48%33660000
2026 wk 2BUF75%52260000
2026 wk 1NO68%1000000
2025 wk 18CHI60%11180000
2025 wk 17MIN52%43490001
2025 wk 16PIT55%74520001
2025 wk 15LA62%1000000
2025 wk 14DAL77%32200001
2025 wk 13GB92%22350001
2025 wk 12NYG41%1000000